Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 9.245611 10.285289 11.404373 12.700208 14.161545 15.760953 17.647365
2025-06-29 7.279514 8.626957 10.182087 12.116397 14.467211 17.243308 20.787257
2025-07-06 6.017098 7.521501 9.363651 11.800440 14.961534 18.953872 24.425780
2025-07-13 5.314472 6.963409 9.091471 12.066562 16.161754 21.663684 29.721801
2025-07-20 4.781391 6.530419 8.895258 12.369349 17.415214 24.589254 35.763251
2025-07-27 4.302056 6.094294 8.619409 12.496751 18.407549 27.255859 41.841790
2025-08-03 3.832562 5.605553 8.195611 12.331757 18.915924 29.241574 47.166779
2025-08-10 3.434418 5.169592 7.788518 12.122551 19.300688 31.052091 52.461605
2025-08-17 3.100110 4.790025 7.417869 11.911684 19.632937 32.791079 57.880102
2025-08-24 2.831687 4.482946 7.123117 11.779200 20.061829 34.726269 63.937231
2025-08-31 2.616139 4.237524 6.898898 11.731637 20.618452 36.941763 70.866993
2025-09-07 2.483852 4.115568 6.864792 12.005319 21.779222 40.413802 80.861103
2025-09-14 2.294246 3.882162 6.623345 11.890983 22.226180 42.638742 88.820575
2025-09-21 2.099919 3.622675 6.310877 11.609352 22.313922 44.167617 95.586524
2025-09-28 1.945190 3.419442 6.079477 11.454412 22.631456 46.211414 103.909330
2025-10-05 1.871528 3.357090 6.101337 11.797748 24.021541 50.754749 119.063239
2025-10-12 1.803620 3.298708 6.123893 12.143315 25.462066 55.636666 136.114136
2025-10-19 1.718997 3.200387 6.058630 12.297011 26.498576 59.752625 152.097783
2025-10-26 1.609774 3.044443 5.864007 12.151075 26.831554 62.240501 164.227848
2025-11-02 1.505376 2.889335 5.656881 11.954236 27.018104 64.395420 175.905893
2025-11-09 1.409665 2.744015 5.457043 11.751596 27.163526 66.468897 187.827219
2025-11-16 1.328889 2.622946 5.297571 11.623871 27.476963 69.033885 201.861187
2025-11-23 1.261727 2.524982 5.178944 11.578574 27.993181 72.231899 218.690112